Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.265629 3.591904e-01 0.468705 0.604280 0.765518 0.949128 1.171949
2026-01-04 0.143003 2.504815e-01 0.397844 0.604934 0.878710 1.218925 1.663928
2026-01-11 0.070658 1.687089e-01 0.328699 0.583226 0.953025 1.447055 2.132192
2026-01-18 0.033292 1.153929e-01 0.277208 0.567301 1.025445 1.675382 2.619437
2026-01-25 0.015676 8.363281e-02 0.246125 0.570872 1.121097 1.940043 3.172703
2026-02-01 0.005579 5.554952e-02 0.207044 0.547800 1.167689 2.134042 3.637737
2026-02-08 0.002296 4.359596e-02 0.196658 0.573114 1.293346 2.452105 4.295402
2026-02-15 0.000582 3.133810e-02 0.177431 0.574404 1.375351 2.706122 4.870191
2026-02-22 0.000175 2.692473e-02 0.178820 0.619652 1.539382 3.097969 5.666378
2026-03-01 0.000018 2.157008e-02 0.173093 0.646561 1.670741 3.442895 6.403929
2026-03-08 NaN 1.574193e-02 0.160141 0.652148 1.760497 3.722639 7.050521
2026-03-15 NaN 1.042092e-02 0.142765 0.640999 1.814516 3.943499 7.611738
2026-03-22 NaN 7.458139e-03 0.134215 0.652919 1.918930 4.260002 8.342918
2026-03-29 NaN 4.880262e-03 0.123045 0.653966 2.000351 4.540592 9.027079
2026-04-05 NaN 2.555492e-03 0.106115 0.631200 2.027118 4.725276 9.562499
2026-04-12 NaN 1.243674e-03 0.092629 0.614444 2.064254 4.929027 10.134455
2026-04-19 NaN 6.611651e-04 0.085613 0.618269 2.148391 5.221570 10.860830
2026-04-26 NaN 1.996131e-04 0.072743 0.593871 2.162278 5.383371 11.373042
2026-05-03 NaN 1.128174e-04 0.072216 0.620677 2.303010 5.789086 12.305745
2026-05-10 NaN 2.984220e-05 0.066413 0.622049 2.380207 6.076347 13.044306
2026-05-17 NaN 2.292593e-05 0.070299 0.669896 2.578833 6.603278 14.202626
2026-05-24 NaN 8.491526e-06 0.070144 0.698325 2.729339 7.041429 15.217329
2026-05-31 NaN 4.310633e-07 0.065724 0.704225 2.821738 7.369444 16.049505